greygirlbeast: (Mars in space.)
[personal profile] greygirlbeast
This is very, very cool and funny (and I'm not just saying that because I think she's hot and we happen to be in the same WoW guild):



Of course, Felicia fails to point out what makes worrying about the Milky Way colliding with Andromeda in three billion years truly silly. Homo sapiens will have long-since become extinct, if not by our own hand, simply through the inexorable cycles of biological and planetary evolution. We will be long, long, long gone. To put this in perspective, the oldest ancient fossil microbe-like objects are dated to be 3.5 billion years old, just a few hundred million years younger than Earth itself. That's the timescale we're working with here.

Of course, there are the grotesquely optimistic idiots who imagine all the galaxy as our future suburban sprawl...

Date: 2009-10-27 06:18 am (UTC)
mithriltabby: Serene silver tabby (Self-Evolving System)
From: [personal profile] mithriltabby
Delightful!

I think there’s a chance we might have some form of descendants around in 3 billion years, but if so, they would be unrecognizable to us now. Given that the galaxy is not already someone else’s suburb, I doubt we would ever attain galactic sprawl; too few people would ever want to move beyond significant speed-of-light lag from the rest of civilization. Being mere light-hours away would be the boondocks and meditation retreats of a solar system.

My own theory is that there are civilizations all over the place, but we can’t tell they’re present. Any mature civilization will have used up all of their electromagnetic communications bandwidth at maximal efficiency, and maximally compressed information is indistinguishable from noise. While our radio and television signals radiating across the universe are currently intelligible, that’s just because of our crude technology; less than 200 years from the development of radio, we’ll look like just another stellar noise source.

Date: 2009-10-27 02:59 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] greygirlbeast.livejournal.com

I don't think you grasp the profundity, deep-timewise, of 3 billion years. It may be that, if humanity gets a clue, and is very lucky in the bargain, "there’s a chance we might have some form of descendants around" in 30 million years, "but if so, they would be unrecognizable to us now." But even that is extraordinarily unlikely.

Date: 2009-10-27 05:44 pm (UTC)
mithriltabby: Serene silver tabby (R'lyeh)
From: [personal profile] mithriltabby
I’m reasoning by analogy here: the question is whether our species ever becomes as tenacious in the galaxy as life has become on our planet. The Earth has experienced catastrophes that wiped out 90% of all species, shrugged, and kept going. I don’t think our current civilization could do that— we’re shortsightedly wrecking the only biosphere we have right now— but if we don’t annihilate ourselves in the next thousand years, we might develop that capacity. The universe is a very hostile place (Philip Plait’s Death from the Skies!: These Are the Ways the World Will End gives lots of great examples), but if we get to the point that we can adapt ourselves consciously to changing conditions, we might very well become like cosmic mildew, always coming back even after getting hosed down by a gamma-ray burster. The analogy only holds, though, if we are as willing to change as much as life does to cope with changing conditions, and that could mean leaving behind many traits we currently see as fundamental to being human.

Date: 2009-10-27 07:43 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] greygirlbeast.livejournal.com

but if we get to the point that we can adapt ourselves consciously to changing conditions, we might very well become like cosmic mildew, always coming back even after getting hosed down by a gamma-ray burster.

This is my nightmare, humans that will not become extinct, no matter what.

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Caitlín R. Kiernan

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